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Health Insurance Premiums Set for Significant Increase in 2026

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Health insurance premiums are expected to increase significantly in 2026, with employers grappling with the largest rise in health care costs in 15 years. According to data from Mercer, health care costs are projected to rise by 6.5%, while wage growth is anticipated at only 3%. This disparity will likely result in a larger share of workers’ incomes being allocated to health care expenses.

The implications of these rising costs are profound. Approximately 60% of employers plan to increase employee payroll contributions. Additionally, many will implement higher cost-sharing measures at the point of service, which could encompass increased co-pays, deductibles, co-insurance, or out-of-pocket maximums. Sunit Patel, chief actuary of U.S. Health at Mercer, highlighted these changes, stating, “About 60% of employers are planning not only to increase payroll contributions, but… increasing cost sharing at the point of service.”

Patel noted that while employers absorbed rising costs during the pandemic, shifting economic conditions have led to a reevaluation of this approach. “I think the cost pressures are more significant, and even though there is a focus on employee health and well-being, there’s certainly just a financial reality,” he added.

Several factors contribute to the anticipated increase in health care costs. Inflation, an aging population requiring more medical care, and the introduction of newer, more expensive treatments are all significant drivers. The projections from Mercer indicate that 2026 will mark the fourth consecutive year of rising health care costs, a stark contrast to the previous decade, which saw more moderate increases.

In a related report, the Kaiser Family Foundation revealed that coverage costs increased by approximately 24% between 2019 and 2024. Despite this, wage growth during that period largely kept pace, suggesting that the current economic landscape presents unique challenges for both employers and employees.

As employers navigate these changes, the impact on workers will likely be felt in their paychecks, prompting a broader conversation about health care affordability and accessibility in the coming years.

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